Admittedly, cash games are hard on a two game slate, and I'm playing very very little this week, but here is my lineup I am rolling with.
I am Devin Knotts, 2018 will be my 8th season playing NFL DFS. I have made five live finals by playing DFS. Join me on my journey as I start with $10,000 in bankroll and show you how I manage it, give you advice for the week, and go over lessons learned for the week. Email: knotts@footballguys.com
Sunday, January 21, 2018
Friday, January 12, 2018
Divisional Round Playoffs- Two separate slates
This kind of sucks. FanDuel broke the slates up into two different slates. While I'm not a fan of the move, there are still opportunities to play the four game slate.
Like I said in the previous post last week, I am playing these slates more for the entertainment value of playing the game. I would treat it as that, as the edge is very minimal compared to the regular season.
Let's start with Le'Veon Bell, I'm playing him this week, but I think it will be a huge risk against this elite Jacksonville defense. The reason for this is that from a pricing standpoint. I don't think in a 0.5 PPR he may not hit value against this Jacksonville defense that is the best in football especially with the athletes that the Jaguars have in Yannick Ngakoue, Calais Campbell and Marcell Dareus along the defensive line.
I am fading Leonard Fournette, I just don't like the trend for him the second-half of the year. The NFL season is a very long season for a rookie, and he just does not seem to have the same burst that he had early on in the year.
Bankroll
From a bankroll standpoint, I'm playing $600 per slate which is severely down from my normal exposure. The reason for this is that they are primarily short slates and I am treating these more as entertainment than anything else.
Last week was not great, not horrible, was slightly down.
Starting bankroll:$12,624
Last Week Profit/Loss: ($220)
New Bankroll: $12,404
Saturday Only Slate-
Saturday/Sunday Slate
Like I said in the previous post last week, I am playing these slates more for the entertainment value of playing the game. I would treat it as that, as the edge is very minimal compared to the regular season.
Let's start with Le'Veon Bell, I'm playing him this week, but I think it will be a huge risk against this elite Jacksonville defense. The reason for this is that from a pricing standpoint. I don't think in a 0.5 PPR he may not hit value against this Jacksonville defense that is the best in football especially with the athletes that the Jaguars have in Yannick Ngakoue, Calais Campbell and Marcell Dareus along the defensive line.
I am fading Leonard Fournette, I just don't like the trend for him the second-half of the year. The NFL season is a very long season for a rookie, and he just does not seem to have the same burst that he had early on in the year.
Bankroll
From a bankroll standpoint, I'm playing $600 per slate which is severely down from my normal exposure. The reason for this is that they are primarily short slates and I am treating these more as entertainment than anything else.
Last week was not great, not horrible, was slightly down.
Starting bankroll:$12,624
Last Week Profit/Loss: ($220)
New Bankroll: $12,404
Saturday Only Slate-
Saturday, January 6, 2018
Wildcard Playoffs- Strategy and Lineup
Playoff football especially adding in DFS can be a ton of fun as you are watching essentially every play of every game. However, the Wildcard round is always a dilemma for me on how much I want to play or should play. The divisional rounds I will typically play the normal amount, but for the Wildcard round I typically scale it back just a little bit.
Bankroll-
Last week was a week where I just lost to the rake, I actually late swapped Phil Dawson into half my lineups instead of Giorgio Tavechhio which Dawson carried my team on what really was pure luck.
Current bankroll $12,624
This week, I'm likely only going to have around $900 invested which is about half of what I normally would have. The reason for this is I believe everyone's lineup is that as you will see in my lineup, I believe everyone will have a similar build this week on FanDuel.
Lineup-
On FanDuel this week, I believe that the lineups will look generally very similar in nature. The ability to pay up for both Todd Gurley and Leonard Fournette is relatively easy without much cap penalty as there are not a ton of great elite options at other positions. If you want Michael Thomas, Julio Jones, or Travis Kelce there are ways to do that with going to Jonathan Stewart at running back who is in a good spot this week.
Below is my lineup for this week. I think it will be relatively popular, but I think there still is an edge this week.
Bankroll-
Last week was a week where I just lost to the rake, I actually late swapped Phil Dawson into half my lineups instead of Giorgio Tavechhio which Dawson carried my team on what really was pure luck.
Current bankroll $12,624
This week, I'm likely only going to have around $900 invested which is about half of what I normally would have. The reason for this is I believe everyone's lineup is that as you will see in my lineup, I believe everyone will have a similar build this week on FanDuel.
Lineup-
On FanDuel this week, I believe that the lineups will look generally very similar in nature. The ability to pay up for both Todd Gurley and Leonard Fournette is relatively easy without much cap penalty as there are not a ton of great elite options at other positions. If you want Michael Thomas, Julio Jones, or Travis Kelce there are ways to do that with going to Jonathan Stewart at running back who is in a good spot this week.
Below is my lineup for this week. I think it will be relatively popular, but I think there still is an edge this week.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)