It was an up and down season for me. Overall ended up slightly profitable, but this was largely due to my own faults. In certain weeks I went bigger than others especially after several winning weeks in a row, which ultimately hurt when those lineups do not perform. I am not playing the 2 game slate, but will still submit a lineup here just like I do every week for those that would like to see it.
Hopefully you guys all enjoyed my insights, the interaction was a blast with those that have posted in the comments and have emailed me.
Starting bankroll- $10,000
Ending bankroll- $11,426
Annual Profit- $1,426
Monday, January 16, 2017
Saturday, January 14, 2017
Divisional Game Thoughts and Lineup
This is a tough one, as there really are only two running backs that I want to use for cash games, but using them is such a hindrance to the rest of your roster as they are by far the most expensive options. Complicating matters is that the weather conditions in Kansas City are atrocious as they have had to push the game back several hours to make it a night game. Antonio Brown is a clear fade due to the weather conditions, and while I want to fade the game as a whole
Here's my roster, my thought is that by taking both Cobb and Adams that I hopefully limit my exposure by not taking Rodgers. Richardson is cheap and of the cheap options has shown that he can find the end zone as he has two touchdowns over his last three games and is in the highest total of the weekend.
Here's my roster, my thought is that by taking both Cobb and Adams that I hopefully limit my exposure by not taking Rodgers. Richardson is cheap and of the cheap options has shown that he can find the end zone as he has two touchdowns over his last three games and is in the highest total of the weekend.
Saturday, January 7, 2017
Playoff Week 1 Thoughts
What an awful playoff slate.
QB-
At the quarterback position, there are really only four guys that I trust to even consider this week.
Tier 1
1) Ben Roethlisberger- The Steelers at home should have the easiest time of anyone on this slate. Roethlisberger is likely the second best quarterback on this slate, but there are some concerns of the matchup for Rodgers which is the reason that Roethlisberger slides in as my number one guy and who I will be trusting in cash.
2) Aaron Rodgers- Great player, but facing the best defense that any of these four quarterbacks are playing against as the Giants defense has been incredibly tough to close out the season.
3) Russell Wilson- There are talks of Russell Wilson not being at full strength in this game, but the problem with Wilson is you just do not get a big enough discount for the consistency that Roethlisberger and Rodgers bring.
4) Eli Manning- The matchup is terrific as Green Bay has allowed 345 yard passing over the last four weeks, but Eli Manning has gone for 201 yards or less in five of his last six games. Something appears to be slightly off with Eli and for that reason he is at the bottom of this tier. As a value play, he is going to be popular, as he can easily bounce out of this slump that he has been in over the last few weeks and the savings of $1k allows you to build a very nice team around Eli.
RB-
Tier 1-
1) Le'Veon Bell- Must start in cash, almost a must start in GPP just because you have to start two running backs and there aren't that many good running backs on this slate.
Tier 2-
2) Jay Ajayi- Ajayi is a nice play on this slate mostly because he is the only running back on this slate who has the upside to compete with Le'Veon Bell. He has gone for 200+ rushing yards three times this season and has already done it to the Steelers once this season.
3) Lamar Miller- If we knew that Miller was 100% healthy, he would be a much better play as we would be able to lock him in for 20+ carries which would make him very viable. As it states now, we believe he's going to see a nice workload, but truly we are not sure and uncertainty has to be factored in when evaluating a player.
Tier 3-
4) Zach Zenner- Tough matchup for Zenner, but he will be popular this week based on scoring three touchdowns over his last two games and being the primary running back in Detroit.
5) Ty Montgomery- Montgomery was benched in the first half of last week's game after Rodgers and Montgomery were not on the same page. This is likely a GPP play only, as Aaron Ripkowski could continue to see a growing role with this team.
WR-
Tier 1-
Antonio Brown-
Odell Beckham Jr.-
Tier 2-
Jordy Nelson
Best Value play
Kenny Stills- Touchdown in four consecutive games
Sterling Shepard- Great matchup, the Packers have been atrocious to slot receivers allowing 202 yards to Adam Thielen just a few weeks ago.
QB-
At the quarterback position, there are really only four guys that I trust to even consider this week.
Tier 1
1) Ben Roethlisberger- The Steelers at home should have the easiest time of anyone on this slate. Roethlisberger is likely the second best quarterback on this slate, but there are some concerns of the matchup for Rodgers which is the reason that Roethlisberger slides in as my number one guy and who I will be trusting in cash.
2) Aaron Rodgers- Great player, but facing the best defense that any of these four quarterbacks are playing against as the Giants defense has been incredibly tough to close out the season.
3) Russell Wilson- There are talks of Russell Wilson not being at full strength in this game, but the problem with Wilson is you just do not get a big enough discount for the consistency that Roethlisberger and Rodgers bring.
4) Eli Manning- The matchup is terrific as Green Bay has allowed 345 yard passing over the last four weeks, but Eli Manning has gone for 201 yards or less in five of his last six games. Something appears to be slightly off with Eli and for that reason he is at the bottom of this tier. As a value play, he is going to be popular, as he can easily bounce out of this slump that he has been in over the last few weeks and the savings of $1k allows you to build a very nice team around Eli.
RB-
Tier 1-
1) Le'Veon Bell- Must start in cash, almost a must start in GPP just because you have to start two running backs and there aren't that many good running backs on this slate.
Tier 2-
2) Jay Ajayi- Ajayi is a nice play on this slate mostly because he is the only running back on this slate who has the upside to compete with Le'Veon Bell. He has gone for 200+ rushing yards three times this season and has already done it to the Steelers once this season.
3) Lamar Miller- If we knew that Miller was 100% healthy, he would be a much better play as we would be able to lock him in for 20+ carries which would make him very viable. As it states now, we believe he's going to see a nice workload, but truly we are not sure and uncertainty has to be factored in when evaluating a player.
Tier 3-
4) Zach Zenner- Tough matchup for Zenner, but he will be popular this week based on scoring three touchdowns over his last two games and being the primary running back in Detroit.
5) Ty Montgomery- Montgomery was benched in the first half of last week's game after Rodgers and Montgomery were not on the same page. This is likely a GPP play only, as Aaron Ripkowski could continue to see a growing role with this team.
WR-
Tier 1-
Antonio Brown-
Odell Beckham Jr.-
Tier 2-
Jordy Nelson
Best Value play
Kenny Stills- Touchdown in four consecutive games
Sterling Shepard- Great matchup, the Packers have been atrocious to slot receivers allowing 202 yards to Adam Thielen just a few weeks ago.
Sunday, January 1, 2017
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