Saturday, January 7, 2017

Playoff Week 1 Thoughts

What an awful playoff slate.

QB-
At the quarterback position, there are really only four guys that I trust to even consider this week.

Tier 1
1) Ben Roethlisberger- The Steelers at home should have the easiest time of anyone on this slate. Roethlisberger is likely the second best quarterback on this slate, but there are some concerns of the matchup for Rodgers which is the reason that Roethlisberger slides in as my number one guy and who I will be trusting in cash.
2) Aaron Rodgers- Great player, but facing the best defense that any of these four quarterbacks are playing against as the Giants defense has been incredibly tough to close out the season.
3) Russell Wilson- There are talks of Russell Wilson not being at full strength in this game, but the problem with Wilson is you just do not get a big enough discount for the consistency that Roethlisberger and Rodgers bring.
4) Eli Manning- The matchup is terrific as Green Bay has allowed 345 yard passing over the last four weeks, but Eli Manning has gone for 201 yards or less in five of his last six games. Something appears to be slightly off with Eli and for that reason he is at the bottom of this tier. As a value play, he is going to be popular, as he can easily bounce out of this slump that he has been in over the last few weeks and the savings of $1k allows you to build a very nice team around Eli.

RB-
Tier 1-
1) Le'Veon Bell- Must start in cash, almost a must start in GPP just because you have to start two running backs and there aren't that many good running backs on this slate.

Tier 2-
2) Jay Ajayi- Ajayi is a nice play on this slate mostly because he is the only running back on this slate who has the upside to compete with Le'Veon Bell. He has gone for 200+ rushing yards three times this season and has already done it to the Steelers once this season.

3) Lamar Miller- If we knew that Miller was 100% healthy, he would be a much better play as we would be able to lock him in for 20+ carries which would make him very viable. As it states now, we believe he's going to see a nice workload, but truly we are not sure and uncertainty has to be factored in when evaluating a player.

Tier 3-
4) Zach Zenner- Tough matchup for Zenner, but he will be popular this week based on scoring three touchdowns over his last two games and being the primary running back in Detroit.

5) Ty Montgomery- Montgomery was benched in the first half of last week's game after Rodgers and Montgomery were not on the same page. This is likely a GPP play only, as Aaron Ripkowski could continue to see a growing role with this team.

WR-
Tier 1-
Antonio Brown-
Odell Beckham Jr.-

Tier 2-
Jordy Nelson

Best Value play
Kenny Stills- Touchdown in four consecutive games
Sterling Shepard- Great matchup, the Packers have been atrocious to slot receivers allowing 202 yards to Adam Thielen just a few weeks ago.

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