Sunday, November 27, 2016

Cash Game Lineups- Two Lineups.

I am playing the Sunday-Monday slate, because I like my team better as Jordan Matthews is in a terrific spot on FanDuel at just $5,600. I am playing a majority of my games on the Sunday/Monday slate, but felt obligated to post a Sun Only slate for you guys.

Sun-Mon


Sun Only- Stacking the Seahawks

Thursday, November 24, 2016

Happy Thanksgiving- Cash Lineup

First of all thank you all for reading this blog and for those subscribers to Footballguys thank you as well. It is humbling to even have one person spend the time to read what I write. I am on cooking duty today so this is short and sweet but I owe it to you to produce my thoughts on this slate.

Here is my cash lineup with an explanation on why I went with what I did.



QB-
Cousins just fits. I would have preferred Ben over him, but I want Elliott, Bell, Brown as my stable of plays this week.

RB-
Rob Kelley was in consideration and for good reason after his monster performance on Sunday Night Football. He is cheap, but Bell/Elliott are two of the best running backs in the league.

WR-
Antonio Brown is the safest play on the board for cash games and was a must start for me this week. Golden Tate has been Detroit's number one receiver over the last few games as Marvin Jones has really struggled. There are not a ton of great options at the receiver position, but Tate should see a high enough volume to pay off his salary.

With Stefon Diggs looking like he will miss this game, Adam Thielen is likely going to draw the coverage of Darius Slay which is a big downgrade for Thielen, but a big upgrade for Cordarrelle Patterson who slides into the number two receiver for Minnesota.

I also considered Jamison Crowder here, but the volume that Tate should see should be greater than Crowder who saw only three targets last week. Crowder is a great GPP play and I will have a lot of exposure to him in those contests

TE-
Detroit is bottom five against opposing tight ends and with Stefon Diggs looking unlikely to play, Rudolph should see more targets.

Def-
Steelers against Tolzien are the way to go as they're cheap and no reason not to go with them.

K-
Dan Bailey is seemingly automatic at home. Any of the kickers are in decent spots in this slate, but I had a little extra cash and decided to spend up. The Cowboys are one of the highest projected scoring teams along with Pittsburgh and ultimately the tiebreaker between Bailey and Boswell was that the Cowboys are at home and the Steelers go for two on extra points occasionally limiting Boswell's point total.



Monday, November 21, 2016

What Could Have Been- Week 11 Recap

I'll be honest, I wrote off losing a large majority of my cash lineups within the first five minutes of the NFL slate yesterday due to the A.J. Green injury. My reaction was about the same as this cheerleader who was more focused on the injury than doing her job. Immediately, I started scrambling to find out how many people owned A.J. Green in my head to heads. The good news is that he was 30% owned. Even better news was that the rest of my lineup was terrific.

Ultimately it is difficult to say what could have been if A.J. Green had not gotten hurt as it is not as simple as adding 15-20 points in GPP's and seeing where you would have finished. At the end of the day, I managed to be slightly positive making $55 on $1,400 in play. If he would have gotten 10 points, I would have been +600 but that's how life goes sometimes.




Sunday, November 20, 2016

Free Stuff- Cross Sport Survivor

FanDuel is running a $2 multi-sport survivor. It is a three-week contest that has NFL this week, NBA on Tuesday and NFL on Thursday.

As part of this, purchase a hoopsguys.com subscription and I will reimburse you with one survivor entry. If you're an existing hoopsguys subscriber this works for you as well.  Just send n email to knotts@hoopsguys.com with your entry and subscription information

Week 11 Cash Game Lineup


I like this lineup, the one risk here is Doug Baldwin. We saw him come on last season around this time and the expectation is that the Seahawks will go with a pass heavy offense similar to what we have seen the past few weeks. Baldwin will be popular, and has multiple touchdown upside.

Tuesday, November 15, 2016

Week 10 Review- Worst week of my career

A few of you have asked why I did not post my lineup until after lock when I posted it at 1:04 EST. Here's the scoop, the goal was not to hide my lineup or gain a competitive advantage over the people who read this blog. I have posted my lineups before lock since week 3 or 4 when a few of you asked me to do so.

The simple answer is this. I hated the lineup, and did not want any of you to think that I was endorsing this lineup. There was a pit in my stomach regarding having you all play this lineup and I could not justify posting it. I played about half of what I normally do, because it was just one of those weeks that everyone has where you get stuck with players you don't love.

I had $620 in play this week, and lost $580 which is the worst week of my career.

I have always tried to be open and honest with you guys and I will be posting my lineup Saturday night/Sunday morning as I have done for most of the season.

This blog has gotten over 50,000 views since we started it which is pretty cool for just a guy posting about his DFS ups and downs.

Sunday, November 13, 2016

Hate this lineup

My cash game lineup is below, and I'm not happy about it.

Good luck everyone

Friday, November 11, 2016

Mid-Term Grade and How to Apply This to Week 10

So far this season has been up and down. Currently, my bankroll is at $11,400 largely due to huge weeks during weeks 1,2,7,9. It seems like when I have been good I have been great, when I have missed, I have not gotten killed which is the end goal.

So how do I evaluate my performance so far this season? I give myself a C+ so far this year. A 11.4% return on my total bankroll is not bad but it certainly can be better. I haven't hit on any GPP's this season which while I am not a big GPP player compared to most, I still should be doing better on the GPP side of things.

Here are my initial notes to myself. I start to solidify my process on Saturday, but just like to take a quick pass at the slate and see what stands out to me.

QB-
Some key trends heading into this week. Aaron Rodgers has been terrific and is throwing the ball at a higher rate than he ever has before. He is expensive, but is the top option for me this week. Heading down the list, I am having a really difficult time finding a quarterback that I am falling in love with. As much as I like Marcus Mariota he has not been running as much as he did earlier in the season and is dealing with a sprained ankle. Roethlisberger is intriguing, but is he 100% healthy? Brady at home on Sunday night is a great play, but facing Seattle is a little bit scary.

RB-
Start David Johnson this week do not over think it. He is the Ezekiel Elliott of last week and is one of the top plays of the week. Melvin Gordon has been a monster, and is in a decent spot at home against Miami. LeVeon Bell is extremely consistent. Seems like a spend up week at running back.

WR-
Wide receiver is the most difficult decision of the day for me. Yes, I like Evans, but he is too expensive for me as he is only $100 less than Antonio Brown. Jordan Matthews at $5,900 is intriguing, J.J. Nelson is intriguing at $5,600 but how much are they going to throw the ball or need to throw the ball? Chris Conley is getting a lot of hype, but I can't buy into it. Bears wide receivers, Jeffrey or Meredith? Have to go cheap at one of the wide receivers in order to spend up elsewhere.

TE-
Loving Zach Miller this week with the return of Jay Cutler we saw Miller/Cutler connect against a good Minnesota team. Antonio Gates is also interesting if Hunter Henry sits out.

Defense-
Love Jacksonville's price, as they have been playing much better so far this year.

Kicker-
Catanzaro will be popular, but he will be kicking a lot of PAT's not field goals. Liking Sturgis, Bryant, and Lambo this week in that order.