Cash games put up 119.44 thanks to a late push by Deandre Hopkins which was good enough to win 90% of my cash games. I was a little bit lucky this week in my head to head distribution compared to the 50/50's, as 119.44 would finish somewhere in the neighborhood of top 80% in 50/50's. This has to do to H2H people tend to be more conservative at times, as I faced nearly 100% Todd Gurley which in 50/50's it was only about 70% from the ones that I was tracking.
GPP's did not do so well as I had a lot of Todd Gurley.
Hopefully, you all had a good week.
Bankroll update-
Current Bankroll: $12,580
Cash Game in Play: 1,700 (13.5%)
Total Return- $2,736
Total Cash Profit/Loss- $1,036
Total GPP in Play: $150
Total GPP Return: $30
Total GPP Profit/Loss: ($120)
Total Profit: $916
New Bankroll: $13,496
Monday, October 9, 2017
Sunday, October 8, 2017
Big H2H Breakdown
I don't hate his lineup, although I posted reasons why I could not be on Miami as they have had a few good matchups and have not been able to take advantage of them. Devante Parker going out with an injury obviously helps this lineup.
Will post updates as this progresses.
Small Change- Contest selection, Small GPP Strategy Piece
Marcus Mariota and Derek Carr are likely going to miss the games this week.
With that, I am switching to Baltimore's defense and downgrading Mason Crosby to Jake Elliott.
This week, I am dialing it back just a little bit compared to last week, as I think a lot of people are going to be on the same 5 RB/WR that I have so, therefore, it becomes a game, so it makes the games a contest against kickers/defenses/tight ends.
Current Bankroll: $12,580
Cash Game in Play: 1,700 (13.5%)
Total GPP in Play: $150
GPP Strategy-
For those of you who are looking from GPP advice from me this week, I have always approached this blog with an honest opinion on what I am doing. I am playing Bell/Gurley even though they will be extremely popular, I realize that for those of you who make a large number of lineups, it probably makes sense to have some sort of fade on them, but there are certain weeks where I just have to have certain guys in all of my lineups and for this week I am going with them.
John Lee and I had a very valuable discussion on GPP strategy on this week's Power Grid. He and I are very different players where I am primarily a cash game who plays a smaller number of GPP lineups, where he will play a larger number of lineups. https://youtu.be/E6QgFgZaQVk?t=1918
With that, I am switching to Baltimore's defense and downgrading Mason Crosby to Jake Elliott.
This week, I am dialing it back just a little bit compared to last week, as I think a lot of people are going to be on the same 5 RB/WR that I have so, therefore, it becomes a game, so it makes the games a contest against kickers/defenses/tight ends.
Current Bankroll: $12,580
Cash Game in Play: 1,700 (13.5%)
Total GPP in Play: $150
GPP Strategy-
For those of you who are looking from GPP advice from me this week, I have always approached this blog with an honest opinion on what I am doing. I am playing Bell/Gurley even though they will be extremely popular, I realize that for those of you who make a large number of lineups, it probably makes sense to have some sort of fade on them, but there are certain weeks where I just have to have certain guys in all of my lineups and for this week I am going with them.
John Lee and I had a very valuable discussion on GPP strategy on this week's Power Grid. He and I are very different players where I am primarily a cash game who plays a smaller number of GPP lineups, where he will play a larger number of lineups. https://youtu.be/E6QgFgZaQVk?t=1918
Saturday, October 7, 2017
Lineup Week 5- Initial Build
This is by no means final, as I've been a bit under the weather today. Here are my thoughts, check back here later today and early tomorrow for an update.
At the moment, here is where I am at using our Interactive Value Charts.
At the moment, here is where I am at using our Interactive Value Charts.
Friday, October 6, 2017
Initial Thoughts Heading into Week 5
Welcome to bye weeks, and this week is going to make things pretty difficult. As you'll see, there is a standard way that I am building my lineups this week and it is spending up at the position
Quarterback-
Dak Prescott is the guy this week for me at 7,700 as while he has struggled so far this year compared to last season, he has had a brutal schedule to start the season as he has faced Arizona, Denver, New York Giants, and the one relatively positive matchup he had was against the Rams last week in which he threw three touchdowns.
Here is a snapshot that I wrote in our rushing/passing matchups regarding Dak's play this season.
"So far this season, Dak Prescott has had a down season in comparison to his rookie campaign as his yards per attempt has dropped from 8.0 to 6.5, his completion percentage has decreased from 67.8% to 60.8% and his interception rate has increased from 0.8% to 2.1%. This ultimately means that Dak has either gotten worse, or that he has faced some difficult matchups and will ultimately improve. The answer is somewhere in the middle for Dak as while he has had a difficult schedule as every team he has faced is between 10-15 in terms of passing yardage allowed and is very talented, he is not playing as well as he did last year and a big part of that is the play of Dez Bryant and Dak trying to force the ball into Dez. Bryant has caught just 40% of the passes that have come his way."
Running Back-
Don't over think this one, start Le'Veon Bell, Jacksonville is allowing 7.9 yards per carry over their last three weeks and boasts one of the top secondaries in the league. This game has the game script of the Steelers running the ball a significant number of times in this game.
It's hard not to like what Todd Gurley is doing this season, he's in a positive matchup against a Seahawks defense that is without Cliff Avril in this game and the Seahawks are currently the sixth worst defense against the running back, so expect that the Rams will try to continue to give Gurley the ball in this game as he is averaging 31.5 touches over the last two weeks.
Wide Receiver-
This is where it gets tough.
My top three guys this week in no particular order are Dez Bryant, Jordy Nelson, and Deandre Hopkins. However with spending up at running back, we can't fit all of them in and maybe none of them in, so I need to continue to work on lineups that I feel comfortable with.
Some cheap options
Rishard Matthews (If Mariota plays)
Jaron Brown- Saw 12 targets last week is minimum price
Devante Parker- The Dolphins offense has been anemic so far this season, but the Titans defense has been even worse, at just $6,100 this could be a nice spot for Parker
Quarterback-
Dak Prescott is the guy this week for me at 7,700 as while he has struggled so far this year compared to last season, he has had a brutal schedule to start the season as he has faced Arizona, Denver, New York Giants, and the one relatively positive matchup he had was against the Rams last week in which he threw three touchdowns.
Here is a snapshot that I wrote in our rushing/passing matchups regarding Dak's play this season.
"So far this season, Dak Prescott has had a down season in comparison to his rookie campaign as his yards per attempt has dropped from 8.0 to 6.5, his completion percentage has decreased from 67.8% to 60.8% and his interception rate has increased from 0.8% to 2.1%. This ultimately means that Dak has either gotten worse, or that he has faced some difficult matchups and will ultimately improve. The answer is somewhere in the middle for Dak as while he has had a difficult schedule as every team he has faced is between 10-15 in terms of passing yardage allowed and is very talented, he is not playing as well as he did last year and a big part of that is the play of Dez Bryant and Dak trying to force the ball into Dez. Bryant has caught just 40% of the passes that have come his way."
Running Back-
Don't over think this one, start Le'Veon Bell, Jacksonville is allowing 7.9 yards per carry over their last three weeks and boasts one of the top secondaries in the league. This game has the game script of the Steelers running the ball a significant number of times in this game.
It's hard not to like what Todd Gurley is doing this season, he's in a positive matchup against a Seahawks defense that is without Cliff Avril in this game and the Seahawks are currently the sixth worst defense against the running back, so expect that the Rams will try to continue to give Gurley the ball in this game as he is averaging 31.5 touches over the last two weeks.
Wide Receiver-
This is where it gets tough.
My top three guys this week in no particular order are Dez Bryant, Jordy Nelson, and Deandre Hopkins. However with spending up at running back, we can't fit all of them in and maybe none of them in, so I need to continue to work on lineups that I feel comfortable with.
Some cheap options
Rishard Matthews (If Mariota plays)
Jaron Brown- Saw 12 targets last week is minimum price
Devante Parker- The Dolphins offense has been anemic so far this season, but the Titans defense has been even worse, at just $6,100 this could be a nice spot for Parker
Tuesday, October 3, 2017
Recapping Week 4
What a week, cash lineup put up 167.52 which won all but one h2h game.
Total invested Cash- $1,900
Total invested GPP- $150
Total invested- $2,050
Total Return Cash- $3,330
Total Return GPP- $600
Total Return- $3,930
Total Bankroll Start of Week $10,700
Total Return- $1,880
New Bankroll- $12,580
Total invested Cash- $1,900
Total invested GPP- $150
Total invested- $2,050
Total Return Cash- $3,330
Total Return GPP- $600
Total Return- $3,930
Total Bankroll Start of Week $10,700
Total Return- $1,880
New Bankroll- $12,580
Sunday, October 1, 2017
Much Better Week
Shaping up to be a good week if we can get a big second half from Eli.
Update: Would have been an unbelievable week if I could have gotten a big performance from Fitzgerald. Still should be winning almost 100% of my h2h and about 8x on GPP's
Update: Would have been an unbelievable week if I could have gotten a big performance from Fitzgerald. Still should be winning almost 100% of my h2h and about 8x on GPP's
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