Friday, October 6, 2017

Initial Thoughts Heading into Week 5

Welcome to bye weeks, and this week is going to make things pretty difficult. As you'll see, there is a standard way that I am building my lineups this week and it is spending up at the position

Quarterback-
Dak Prescott is the guy this week for me at 7,700 as while he has struggled so far this year compared to last season, he has had a brutal schedule to start the season as he has faced Arizona, Denver, New York Giants, and the one relatively positive matchup he had was against the Rams last week in which he threw three touchdowns.

Here is a snapshot that I wrote in our rushing/passing matchups regarding Dak's play this season. 

"So far this season, Dak Prescott has had a down season in comparison to his rookie campaign as his yards per attempt has dropped from 8.0 to 6.5, his completion percentage has decreased from 67.8% to 60.8% and his interception rate has increased from 0.8% to 2.1%. This ultimately means that Dak has either gotten worse, or that he has faced some difficult matchups and will ultimately improve. The answer is somewhere in the middle for Dak as while he has had a difficult schedule as every team he has faced is between 10-15 in terms of passing yardage allowed and is very talented, he is not playing as well as he did last year and a big part of that is the play of Dez Bryant and Dak trying to force the ball into Dez. Bryant has caught just 40% of the passes that have come his way."

Running Back-
Don't over think this one, start Le'Veon Bell, Jacksonville is allowing 7.9 yards per carry over their last three weeks and boasts one of the top secondaries in the league. This game has the game script of the Steelers running the ball a significant number of times in this game.

It's hard not to like what Todd Gurley is doing this season, he's in a positive matchup against a Seahawks defense that is without Cliff Avril in this game and the Seahawks are currently the sixth worst defense against the running back, so expect that the Rams will try to continue to give Gurley the ball in this game as he is averaging 31.5 touches over the last two weeks. 

Wide Receiver-
This is where it gets tough.

My top three guys this week in no particular order are Dez Bryant, Jordy Nelson, and Deandre Hopkins. However with spending up at running back, we can't fit all of them in and maybe none of them in, so I need to continue to work on lineups that I feel comfortable with.

Some cheap options
Rishard Matthews (If Mariota plays)
Jaron Brown- Saw 12 targets last week is minimum price
Devante Parker- The Dolphins offense has been anemic so far this season, but the Titans defense has been even worse, at just $6,100 this could be a nice spot for Parker

15 comments:

  1. How do you feel about Fitz this week? I find that he fits nicely into a lot of my cash lineups, but I worry about that possibility of a dud game since he already had one in week 2 and nearly had another last week.

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  2. Yikes, I've been burned by Fitz a few times this year, and if he didn't score that late touchdown last week his day would have looked really bad. I don't hate the play though.

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    1. He's a tough choice for me. His price for the number of targets seems hard to pass up. But same with Jaron, as you pointed out.
      I can do Fitz, Parker, and Clay for the same price as Jordy, Jaron Brown, and Engram. I find the latter to be a bit more appealing.

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  3. You mentioned on the Pod that your running pretty much 100% Bell/Gurley in your lineups. How is your feeling on Frank Gore with them or instead of one of them?

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  4. I prefer not to use 34 year old running backs. The matchup based on last year was great, but this year Deforest Buckner is the best defensive tackle in football and has drastically improved their defense.

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  5. I am pretty much locked in to Dak Bell Gurley Jordy as well. Im warming up to Parker and Jaron as solid affordable upside plays. Hard for me to see this core getting better

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  6. Thoughts on Bilal Powell now that Forte is out? The Browns have limited the run, but not the pass. At $6600 his potential value seems pretty high.

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  7. Just a heads up......not all players on the IVC are on the correct team. At least Pats/Car/Indy are messed up

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    1. Thanks, have sent a note to our team that puts that together.

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    2. I just spoke with the team that owns these, they have since been updated and the errors have been corrected.

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  8. The Packers aren't showing up on Sunday only IVC either...

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    1. I just spoke with the team that owns these, they have since been updated and the errors have been corrected.

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  9. My lineup is the same exact one in Dodds cracking fanduel article. Funny

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