Saturday, October 15, 2016

Week 6 GPP Core and Thoughts Heading Into the Week

Thoughts Heading into week 6.

GPP Core-
This week I am only going with a two-man core with Cam Newton and Delanie Walker. The reason for this is that I fully trust that these two are going to pay off their salary. With that said, I will have a lot of exposure to LeSean McCoy, Demarco Murray, Buffalo Defense, I just won't be 100% which is typically what I consider my core.

The reason is that pricing this week forcing you into certain players, so if I was to lock into Cam, Murray, McCoy, Walker, Buffalo. I would not be able to get as many combinations wide receivers that I like this week.

QB-

Cam Newton-
Cam Newton's concussion is going to scare people off this week, as they're going to gravitate towards Brady and Roethlisberger on the high end and Hoyer/Alex Smith on the low end. This is a perfect opportunity for Cam Newton this season for both cash games and GPP's. In the NFL, if you enter the concussion protocol they are not going to clear you until you are 100% healthy. Last season, Cam dominated the Saints accounting for 646 yards passing, 7 touchdowns and 82 yards rushing with a touchdown. This is projected to be the highest scoring game on the day, and the concussion will scare people off, but I am going to be all in on Cam this week.

Brian Hoyer
Hoyer has thrown for 300+ yards and 2+ touchdowns in his last three games and is going to be popular this week. However, I think most people are just looking at the matchup and seeing Jacksonville and not putting any additional research into it. The Jaguars defense against the pass has actually been the third best in the NFL this year and they have faced Aaron Rodgers, Phillip Rivers, and Andrew Luck. Hoyer is not in this class of quarterback, so I will be fading him this week.

Running Back
This is a week that you want to find a way to pay up for running backs as the top three running backs all have elite matchups. Deciding between Demarco Murray, LeVeon Bell, and LeSean McCoy is going to be the real decision this week in cash games. This makes it really difficult to fill out a roster, so if you want to spend up on a top end WR, you could look at Ryan Mathews in a great matchup against the Redskins, but Mathews is always susceptible to someone stealing carries or getting injured.

Wide Receiver
This position is really tough this week, as the high-end guys are too expensive to use such as Antonio Brown or A.J. Green. There are some very intriguing plays in good matchups in the mid-range with Larry Fitzgerald, Marvin Jones, Kelvin Benjamin, and T.Y. Hilton. I think T.Y Hilton is a GPP play only, as he is too boom/bust every week even with Moncrief out for me. He had the highest bust rate of any top wide receiver in our preseason coverage at about 40% of his games with 10 points or less over the last three seasons.

On the low-end, there are a few names that will allow you to save some salary this week. Michael Thomas, Tavon Austin, and Cameron Meredith. Thomas is coming off of back to back touchdown games, and facing a Panthers secondary that is one of the worst in the NFL. Meredith is stepping in for the injured Kevin White and saw 12 targets last week. Tavon Austin is averaging 9 targets per week this year, and just hasn't found the end-zone. If you can guarantee nine targets from a player at his price, I think he is a very intriguing play, and hopefully finds the end-zone on a run or a pass.

Tight End
Find a way to pay up for Delanie Walker this week. Cleveland has allowed 21 receptions, five touchdowns, and 257 yards in the last two games against tight ends. This has the making for a big Delanie Walker game this week

1 comment:

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