Friday, September 15, 2017

Heading into Week 2

A little bit late this week (apologies) I am trying to get the initial thoughts out there on Thursdays. Lineup will be posted tomorrow as always.

My thoughts on this week are pretty simple, for cash games target the games with the high expected totals. Green Bay/Atlanta and New England vs New Orleans.

This week is a little bit challenging because everyone is going to be targeting these games, so it is important that we hit on them. However, there is a clear differentiator that I will get to below art running back that will set these lineups apart.

At quarterback, this means Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, Matt Ryan or Drew Brees. All excellent options this week. My preferred target in cash games is paying up for Tom Brady. The reasoning is pretty simple, but the Saints secondary is absolutely atrocious as evidenced by Sam Bradford throwing for 346 yards and 3 touchdowns last week. Pairing Brady with Chris Hogan is a great opportunity this week as Hogan is underpriced and while he did not have a great week one he will see a lot of P.J. Williams in the slot this week. Adam Thielen torched Williams out of the slot with 9 receptions and 157 yards this past week.

Marshawn Lynch Returns Home-
I spend a lot of my early week writing up our rushing/passing matchups which I feel are some of the best in the industry, for those that have not seen them, below is a snippet of the write-up.

As you read this matchup, ask yourself in a great matchup with Marshawn Lynch at his first home game in Oakland and the team is in a position to potentially have the lead is this a running back I want to target? For me, it is an absolute yes. This matchup is about perfect for Lynch as we saw what LeSean McCoy was able to do against the Jets last week.

RAIDERS RUSHING OFFENSE
Great matchup vs. the Jets defense.
Marshawn Lynch looked terrific in his return to the NFL and in his first game in Oakland. Facing a very difficult matchup against Tennessee, Lynch continued with his physical running style to run for 76 yards on 18 carries. This is a great spot for Lynch to be in as he has the second-best run-blocking offensive line according to Matt Bitonti and is in a passing offense where he is not the focal point of the defense.
The Jets struggled in week one against the run as the Bills were able to run all over the Jets in this game. The loss of Sheldon Richardson may be having an impact as the Jets allowed 190 yards rushing in this game which was the most in week one. This was against another very good run-blocking offensive line in the Buffalo Bills as the defensive line for the Jets and could see similar problems this week going up against Oakland. One of the big problems for the Jets was the play of the linebackers Darron Lee and Demario Davis as the Jets released David Harris in the offseason and appear to missing him. Lee is an undersized linebacker which could cause issues for the Jets in this game as he gives up almost 20 pounds to Marshawn Lynch.

1 comment:

  1. Love the commentary..I was pretty much locked in on Gordon/Montgomery rb combo this week but now you have me second guessing. Dodds also points out that this is Lynch's coming home party. He will be even more geeked up than usual. Im sold. Lynch is in for me

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