Friday, December 8, 2017

Heading into Week 14

Heading down the backstretch. Coming off of back to back losing weeks and three out of the last four have been down weeks. It is time to turn things around.

After losing about 20% of my investment, I am down to $10,922. We need a good week this week.

Slate Breakdown:

With two of the best games not on this slate, this week is a little bit tough to build a roster.

Quarterback-

Do we trust Alex Smith? Not 100% sure I do, even though he is likely going to be the most popular guy on this slate this week. It's a great matchup against an awful Oakland secondary that Smith absolutely torched last time out. At that price, I'll probably just take Smith that way if he does go off I am not behind the curve.

Other quarterbacks that I like-
Jameis Winston
DeShone Kizer (Weather dependent)

Running Back:
I might be just paying down for running back after paying up the past few weeks and it not working out.

Giovani Bernard at just $5,100 is in a tremendous spot this week assuming Joe Mixon is out as at $5,100 he does not need much to hit value.

Lamar Miller is also in a tremendous spot this week against the 49ers. The 49ers have allowed the fourth-most rushing yards to opponents on the season and this week

Todd Gurley continues to be the running back with some of the highest yardage upside, but he has only scored one touchdown in the last four weeks and is going up against one of the best run defenses in football.

LeSean McCoy- McCoy is a player who in theory should be in a great spot as the Colts have allowed the fourth most points to opposing running backs but they are playing better as over their last four games they have only allowed the 20th most fantasy points to opposing running backs. The Colts did lose John Simon, which means that Barkevious Mingo will likely be forced to see snaps which is not a good thing for the Colts. McCoy has his up and down games and at $9,000 may be a bit too high but should be in consideration.

Wide Receiver-

Keenan Allen

Wide receiver starts and ends with Keenan Allen who is on an absolute tear as of late as he has four touchdowns over his last three games and has gone for over 100 yards in each of those games. It seems the Chargers emergence is relying on Allen more than they ever have this season.

Marqise Goodwin-

If you have the ability to go and watch last week's game against the Bears go and watch Marqise Goodwin. He was all over the field and was playing a different role than what we are used to where he is traditionally just thought of as a deep threat. Goodwin had eight targets catching all eight of them and is in a tremendous matchup going up against a Houston secondary that is not very good and not very fast.

Larry Fitzgerald-

Fitzgerald is just reliable, there is not much more to say about it. Excluding a horrible matchup against Jacksonville, Fitzgerald has 9 receptions or more and 90 yards or more in his last three games. He is still priced too low for that type of consistency.

Other Wide Receivers I like
DeAndre Hopkins
Michael Crabtree
Davante Adams

Tight End-

At the moment, I am just paying up for Travis Kelce. It is risky, especially since Stephen Anderson will be very popular, but with Will Fuller coming back, I do not believe that Anderson will continue the same deep threat role that he had last week. Teams will also game plan accordingly for the tight end.

4 comments:

  1. Your QB seems to have been cut off: "At that price, I'll probably just" ...

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    Replies
    1. At that price, I'll probably just take Smith that way if he does go off I am not behind the curve.

      Other quarterbacks that I like-
      Jameis Winston
      DeShone Kizer (Weather dependent)

      Delete
  2. I am leaning towards Goodwin over Adams and about $1200 unused after doing that...am I crazy? This is also what I believe is my punt spot. I just don't trust Hundley in wind with McCourty on DA.

    ReplyDelete