Saturday, December 16, 2017

Week 15 Breakdown

I can't believe it is already week 15. Coming off of a great week last week, I am going to learn from the mistake earlier in the season and not go too big after a good week. We are going to have the normal amount in cash games which is around 17% of my bankroll. 

Quarterback-
This week is filled with a lot of options at the quarterback position. My favorite guy this week is Nick Foles at just $6k. I am a firm believer that the Eagles will not be looking to slow him into this offense as they essentially have three games to get him ready for the playoffs. You could realistically make a case that Nick Foles is one of the more talented backups in the league and with Alshon Jeffery, Zach Ertz, and Nelson Agholor this offense has a ton of talent for Foles.

Their are other quarterbacks that I like more, but ultimately the savings that I get with Foles at least at the moment have me loving the lineup builds with him this week. 

Other quarterbacks I am considering-
Ben Roethlisberger-
Cam Newton
Tom Brady

Running Back-

Kenyan Drake at $6,500 is almost an automatic play at this point as his price did not adjust due to being a Monday night game. This is a tremendous spot for Drake going up against one of the worst run defenses in football in Buffalo. 

Alex Collins is also very intriguing as this Browns run defense is not as good as it was earlier on in this season. This Browns team which was holding run defenses to just 2.9 yards per carry over the first eight games, are now giving up the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs over their last five games. This is a spot where Alex Collins has become a major factor in the Ravens offense as he has four touchdowns in his last three games. Danny Shelton is not 100% healthy which also hurts the Browns run defense and should lead to a great spot for Collins in this game. 

Other Running Backs I am considering
LeVeon Bell
Todd Gurley 

Wide Receiver-

How can we not play Antonio Brown at this point? Brown is averaging 157 yards per game over his last four games and is going up against a Patriots defense that has not been great against the pass this season. This is a spot where the Steelers will look to Brown to keep them in this game in what should be the highest scoring game of the week. There have been concerns floated around that Belichick will try to take Brown out of this game, but looking at his last few games against New England he has gone for over 100 yards in each of his last two games. This is a spot where you just pay up for Brown and move on.

Dede Westbrook is a cheap receiver that I am looking at as the rookie appears to be gaining a larger role within this offense as the Jaguars prepare for the playoffs and Westbrook returns from injury. He is going up against a Houston Texans defense that have one of the worst secondaries in football and Westbrook has five or more receptions in each of his last three games. At just $5,700 he's my favorite cheap receiver this week. 

Other Wide Receivers I am considering
Josh Gordon- Expensive but in a great spot
Devin Funchess
Larry Fitzgerald
Mike Wallace- If he plays
Corey Coleman

Tight End
I love Delanie Walker this week. Walker is playing in San Francisco for his first time since leaving the team back in 2011. San Francisco has struggled against the tight end over the past six weeks as they have allowed six touchdowns in their last six games and while they have not allowed one over the last two weeks, they have faced two of the worst tight end passing teams in Detroit and Houston. 

Other Tight Ends I am considering: 
Rob Gronkowski if you can afford him. 

Team Defense
I am trying to find a way to pay up for Jacksonville at $5,900, but not sure I will be able to. This is a defense that had ten sacks the first time these two teams played, and the offensive line for Houston has gotten worse since they met the first time as the team traded Duane Brown. This offense for Houston is also going to be starting T.J. Yates who has played only two games since 2011. This is a spot that is tremendous for 

Other Defenses:
Minnesota
Miami- If Nathan Peterman starts

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