Things would have been a lot better if Gurley scored that last touchdown
In hindsight however, I'm not sure what I would have done differently.
What went right:
I was starting my lineup with Conner+Gurley no matter what. Gurley wasn't bad and would have been great if he scored at the end of the game.
Eli Manning. Manning had 320 yards and really should have had about 380 yards and a touchdown but Sterling Shepard and Evan Engram dropped about 4 passes on third down. This allowed me to spend up at other positions.
Phillip Lindsay- 18.7 points from a 6,500 player I'll take every time.
Arizona D- 8 points at $3,400 for a defense is a success
What went wrong
David Njoku-
This is the one that crushed me. I still am not sure what happened here, did he get hurt, did he get benched, it'll be interesting to see the snap counts tomorrow, as I didn't see him on the field at all this week. I could have went with Jared Cook, but based on recent results, I had Njoku as a more consistent player. I don't think my process was going to get me there this week.
Jordy Nelson-
This was a mistake plain and simple. I thought about Marquise Goodwin, but the reality is I shouldn't have spent up
Robert Woods-
I debated Tyreek Hill and Woods and the reality is that neither were the right call. I should have spent down to Tyler Boyd and upgraded a different position.
Summary
Not 100% sure what the learning here is. David Njoku is a mystery that I still can't wrap my head around.
I think the learning is that I knew what Amari Cooper's role in this offense was, and it was extremely inconsistent. Expecting Jordy to come in and take over that role and be consistent was a huge mistake. He hadn't been consistent all year and now was going to draw more focus in coverage this week.
Still profitable after 8 weeks even with this week being largely a wash out.
Sunday, October 28, 2018
1k H2H
I'm not sure if you guys care, or like that I'm showing it, so if you want me to keep doing these let me know in the comments section.
https://www.fanduel.com/games/29305/contests/29305-221614550/entries/1574058486/scoring
Here's a 1k H2H, I posted earlier today. Looks like my opponent determined not to go with Todd Gurley, which was something I was looking at late in the process but couldn't pull the trigger. Dalton and Mixon is interesting essentially hoping that the Bengals have a huge day, which could very well happen.
With his two remaining positions, I'm assuming it is Jordy Nelson and Jimmy Graham.
https://www.fanduel.com/games/29305/contests/29305-221614550/entries/1574058486/scoring
Here's a 1k H2H, I posted earlier today. Looks like my opponent determined not to go with Todd Gurley, which was something I was looking at late in the process but couldn't pull the trigger. Dalton and Mixon is interesting essentially hoping that the Bengals have a huge day, which could very well happen.
With his two remaining positions, I'm assuming it is Jordy Nelson and Jimmy Graham.
Week 8 Lineups
Here is where I currently am at. I don't love the final builds, I seemingly am $100 or $200 away from a great build each time.
I've added Phillip Lindsay as a tremendous play in cash, I missed earlier in the week that Freeman was out, and at $6,500 have gotten myself comfortable with Lindsay in all formats as he should be able to catch 5 passes in this game and have a significant role early as the Broncos look to keep the Chiefs off the field.
If you are not comfortable with Eli Manning, here is another lineup I'm ok with.
I've added Phillip Lindsay as a tremendous play in cash, I missed earlier in the week that Freeman was out, and at $6,500 have gotten myself comfortable with Lindsay in all formats as he should be able to catch 5 passes in this game and have a significant role early as the Broncos look to keep the Chiefs off the field.
If you are not comfortable with Eli Manning, here is another lineup I'm ok with.
Here's a GPP lineup I'm running with.
Saturday, October 27, 2018
Week 8 Thoughts
It's crazy to think we're at the half way point this week, but here we are (I don't count week 17).
Last week was a good one as we posted the two $500 h2h that were winners.
Bankroll is up to $11,525 this week after starting with $10,000. Quite the winning streak after a few horrible weeks to start the year.
Quarterback-
Eli Manning- FD/DK Cash/GPP
He's simply too cheap on both DraftKings and FanDuel, Quinton Dunbar appears out and Fabian Moreau is dealing with an ankle injury. Josh Norman is still in this secondary, but he has not shadowed a receiver all season and I'm not sure it starts this week. We'll see if I have the guts to go with Manning in cash, but think he's an excellent GPP play this week.
Jameis Winston-FD/DK Cash/GPP
Winston is the safest cash game quarterback for the cost. He's likely going to be the most popular guy in GPP's which is a little bit tough, but this game should be a shootout and if you want to take him in GPP's, pair him with a guy like Chris Godwin instead of DeSean Jackson or Mike Evans.
Mitchell Trubisky- FD Cash/GPP only as he remains too cheap in a good matchup
Kirk Cousins- FD/DK GPP- If you're playing the Sun/Mon slate should be able to carve up this Saints secondary
Ben Roethlisberger- FD/DK GPP- Roethlisberger at home coming off the bye. Favorite stack with him this week is with JuJu Smith-Schuster.
Running Back
Todd Gurley- FD/DK Cash/GPP- Is there really anything that needs to be said here? I'm putting Gurley in my cash and GPP's this week and will differentiate my lineups elsewhere.
James Conner- FD/DK Cash/GPP- The Browns are dealing with some linebacker issues and the Steelers should get out to a big lead in this one. Conner had a big game last go around against this Browns team and his price is pretty reasonable.
Chris Carson- DK Cash- Chris Carson is a nice play this week in cash only as I don't think he has the upside in a GPP due to his lack of receiving ability, but he's priced down in a good matchup against Detroit even with the Snacks Harrison acquisition.
Adrian Peterson- FD Cash/GPP Has rushed for 90+ yards in every game that the Redskins have not gotten blown out. Don't expect the Redskins to get blown out against the Giants this week.
Raheem Mostert- DK Cash/GPP FanDuel GPP- If Breida is out, Mostert should see a lot of time this week.
Duke Johnson- DK GPP- This is expected to be a blowout which could mean that Duke sees the field a lot and is priced down accordingly.
Saquon Barkley- DK GPP- Has caught 18 balls the last two weeks combined. He's basically a lock for 6 catches this week.
Wide Receiver-
Odell Beckham- DK/FD Cash/GPP Should get a favorable matchup this week against 7th round rookie draft pick Greg Stroman. Expect Beckham to have a big week this week at home to a corner who has struggled with double moves.
Emmanuel Sanders- DK/FD Cash/GPP- All the garbage time for Sanders this week against a bad Chiefs secondary.
Robert Woods- DK/FD Cash/GPP- Cooper Kupp looks like he'll miss again which increases Woods' value
Anthony Miller- DK Cash/GPP FD GPP- If Allen Robinson misses, Miller is a nice darkhorse candidate for the Bears as he had 7 targets last week and is in a favorable matchup.
Jordy Nelson- FD Cash- Too cheap on FanDuel at $5,300.
Davante Adams- DK/FD GPP- Too expensive to get in cash with wanting to spend up at running back and with Cobb/Allison looking like they'll return, but Adams is going to be a focal point of this offense especially in the Red Zone.
JuJu Smith-Schuster- DK/FD GPP Expect Denzel Ward to shadow Antonio Brown which should mean JuJu is in a favorable matchup against either Damarious Randall or Briean Boddy-Calhoun.
Michael Crabtree- DK Cash- At $4,800 against a Carolina team that is better against the run than the pass, he's a nice trustworthy play this week.
Jermaine Kearse- DK/FD Cash/GPP- Not sure I'm going back there but Kearse is basically the only wide receiver playing for the Jets who has seen significant time this season as Robby Anderson and Quincy Enunwa are looking out this week.
Paul Richardson- DK Cash/GPP FD GPPCould be facing a corner who has only seen 4 snaps all season in undrafted rookie Grant Haley.
Tight End-
I'm playing David Njoku in 90%+ of my contests, I think the matchup is perfect as the Steelers have struggled against tight ends and the Browns will be forced to throw. I'll have a little Jordan Reed in GPP's due to how few of receiving options the Redskins have.
C.J. Uzomah, Jeff Heuerman, and Chris Herndon (yikes)are your pay down guys this week on DraftKings.
Defense-
This week is simple, Pittsburgh on DraftKings, Arizona on FanDuel. You could use Baltimore as a GPP play as they're too talented to be this cheap.
Last week was a good one as we posted the two $500 h2h that were winners.
Bankroll is up to $11,525 this week after starting with $10,000. Quite the winning streak after a few horrible weeks to start the year.
Quarterback-
Eli Manning- FD/DK Cash/GPP
He's simply too cheap on both DraftKings and FanDuel, Quinton Dunbar appears out and Fabian Moreau is dealing with an ankle injury. Josh Norman is still in this secondary, but he has not shadowed a receiver all season and I'm not sure it starts this week. We'll see if I have the guts to go with Manning in cash, but think he's an excellent GPP play this week.
Jameis Winston-FD/DK Cash/GPP
Winston is the safest cash game quarterback for the cost. He's likely going to be the most popular guy in GPP's which is a little bit tough, but this game should be a shootout and if you want to take him in GPP's, pair him with a guy like Chris Godwin instead of DeSean Jackson or Mike Evans.
Mitchell Trubisky- FD Cash/GPP only as he remains too cheap in a good matchup
Kirk Cousins- FD/DK GPP- If you're playing the Sun/Mon slate should be able to carve up this Saints secondary
Ben Roethlisberger- FD/DK GPP- Roethlisberger at home coming off the bye. Favorite stack with him this week is with JuJu Smith-Schuster.
Running Back
Todd Gurley- FD/DK Cash/GPP- Is there really anything that needs to be said here? I'm putting Gurley in my cash and GPP's this week and will differentiate my lineups elsewhere.
James Conner- FD/DK Cash/GPP- The Browns are dealing with some linebacker issues and the Steelers should get out to a big lead in this one. Conner had a big game last go around against this Browns team and his price is pretty reasonable.
Chris Carson- DK Cash- Chris Carson is a nice play this week in cash only as I don't think he has the upside in a GPP due to his lack of receiving ability, but he's priced down in a good matchup against Detroit even with the Snacks Harrison acquisition.
Adrian Peterson- FD Cash/GPP Has rushed for 90+ yards in every game that the Redskins have not gotten blown out. Don't expect the Redskins to get blown out against the Giants this week.
Raheem Mostert- DK Cash/GPP FanDuel GPP- If Breida is out, Mostert should see a lot of time this week.
Duke Johnson- DK GPP- This is expected to be a blowout which could mean that Duke sees the field a lot and is priced down accordingly.
Saquon Barkley- DK GPP- Has caught 18 balls the last two weeks combined. He's basically a lock for 6 catches this week.
Wide Receiver-
Odell Beckham- DK/FD Cash/GPP Should get a favorable matchup this week against 7th round rookie draft pick Greg Stroman. Expect Beckham to have a big week this week at home to a corner who has struggled with double moves.
Emmanuel Sanders- DK/FD Cash/GPP- All the garbage time for Sanders this week against a bad Chiefs secondary.
Robert Woods- DK/FD Cash/GPP- Cooper Kupp looks like he'll miss again which increases Woods' value
Anthony Miller- DK Cash/GPP FD GPP- If Allen Robinson misses, Miller is a nice darkhorse candidate for the Bears as he had 7 targets last week and is in a favorable matchup.
Jordy Nelson- FD Cash- Too cheap on FanDuel at $5,300.
Davante Adams- DK/FD GPP- Too expensive to get in cash with wanting to spend up at running back and with Cobb/Allison looking like they'll return, but Adams is going to be a focal point of this offense especially in the Red Zone.
JuJu Smith-Schuster- DK/FD GPP Expect Denzel Ward to shadow Antonio Brown which should mean JuJu is in a favorable matchup against either Damarious Randall or Briean Boddy-Calhoun.
Michael Crabtree- DK Cash- At $4,800 against a Carolina team that is better against the run than the pass, he's a nice trustworthy play this week.
Jermaine Kearse- DK/FD Cash/GPP- Not sure I'm going back there but Kearse is basically the only wide receiver playing for the Jets who has seen significant time this season as Robby Anderson and Quincy Enunwa are looking out this week.
Paul Richardson- DK Cash/GPP FD GPPCould be facing a corner who has only seen 4 snaps all season in undrafted rookie Grant Haley.
Tight End-
I'm playing David Njoku in 90%+ of my contests, I think the matchup is perfect as the Steelers have struggled against tight ends and the Browns will be forced to throw. I'll have a little Jordan Reed in GPP's due to how few of receiving options the Redskins have.
C.J. Uzomah, Jeff Heuerman, and Chris Herndon (yikes)are your pay down guys this week on DraftKings.
Defense-
This week is simple, Pittsburgh on DraftKings, Arizona on FanDuel. You could use Baltimore as a GPP play as they're too talented to be this cheap.
Sunday, October 21, 2018
Simply got lucky
To win this week with Kearse and Elliott do essentially nothing is simply lucky by going with two high dollar h2h. Horrible bankroll management strategy, but part of one large h2h is that it doesn't matter how bad your lineup is compared to the industry it just has to be better than one persons lineup. Don't typically like playing that way as it often works in reverse where your lineup is better than average but face a tough opponent, but it worked in my favor this week.
Not going to try to sugar coat it, the lineup sucked. I wasn't on Kearse at all this week, I think I even criticized it on the podcast and then found myself suckered into it based on a lot of smart people talking him up.
Elliott was similar, the matchup was a bad one as Washington's rebuilt defensive line has been good, I planned to go Thielen all week and honestly should have but got scared off by the wind.
Even though the bankroll is up, this week feels like a loss since I gave out an awful lineup.
Not going to try to sugar coat it, the lineup sucked. I wasn't on Kearse at all this week, I think I even criticized it on the podcast and then found myself suckered into it based on a lot of smart people talking him up.
Elliott was similar, the matchup was a bad one as Washington's rebuilt defensive line has been good, I planned to go Thielen all week and honestly should have but got scared off by the wind.
Even though the bankroll is up, this week feels like a loss since I gave out an awful lineup.
Two Head to Head Reviews
Here are two $535 H2H games that I joined.
Going up against Blake Bortles in both, I sort of get it due to how cheap he was, but he wasn't even on my cash game radar.
Facing Jarvis Landry in both, which I understand, always like him more on FanDuel, but at $6,500 he was a value.
https://www.fanduel.com/games/29092/contests/29092-221320113/entries/1564410187/scoring
https://www.fanduel.com/games/29092/contests/29092-221302084/entries/1563697251/scoring
This second one I don't get. Antonio Callaway makes no sense to me why you would play him in cash.
Going up against Blake Bortles in both, I sort of get it due to how cheap he was, but he wasn't even on my cash game radar.
Facing Jarvis Landry in both, which I understand, always like him more on FanDuel, but at $6,500 he was a value.
https://www.fanduel.com/games/29092/contests/29092-221320113/entries/1564410187/scoring
https://www.fanduel.com/games/29092/contests/29092-221302084/entries/1563697251/scoring
This second one I don't get. Antonio Callaway makes no sense to me why you would play him in cash.
Week 7 Cash Lineup
Bankroll advice-
As much as I love this week, I'm not going above the 13% range that I typically go with for % of bankroll. We're back over the starting mark and in the profit zone after a horrible start to the season.
Current bankroll $10,450
Amount in play- $1,400
I have been talked into Jermaine Kearse due to Quincy Enunwa being out. Both John Lee and Ryan Hester (fellow analysts on the Power Grid for those that don't follow that forum) and have brought him up multiple times in their articles.
As a bonus, here is my favorite GPP lineup I have today on FanDuel.
As much as I love this week, I'm not going above the 13% range that I typically go with for % of bankroll. We're back over the starting mark and in the profit zone after a horrible start to the season.
Current bankroll $10,450
Amount in play- $1,400
I have been talked into Jermaine Kearse due to Quincy Enunwa being out. Both John Lee and Ryan Hester (fellow analysts on the Power Grid for those that don't follow that forum) and have brought him up multiple times in their articles.
As a bonus, here is my favorite GPP lineup I have today on FanDuel.
Saturday, October 20, 2018
Heading into Week 7
Power Grid-
We are creating a contest for Power Grid listeners, go to for some details and a chance to win $50.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0uakE6487eo&t=1s
I'm in love with this week. There are so many ways to go that this is the first real cash game week. The first couple of weeks quarterback has basically been either you have to start this player, or you have to pick one or the other player.
Weather-
There are two weather games that I am trying to avoid players due to high winds
Carolina @ Philadelphia
Minnesota @ NYJ- (Adam Thielen is the one exception to this)
Thoughts on the slate:
I love this Chicago New England game to be a shootout.
All Players Cash and GPP viable unless otherwise noted.
Quarterback-
Tom Brady- DK GPP Only
Mitchell Trubisky- DK
Joe Flacco- DK (Cash Only), I don't think he has the upside in a GPP
Baker Mayfield- FD Cash/GPP and DK GPP
Jameis Winston- FD
Matthew Stafford- DK/FD
Running Back
This week it seems pretty easy. In cash, I am going with Todd Gurley and Nick Chubb on FanDuel and DraftKings. I am avoiding Chubb in GPP's due to his ownership and there is some risk that the Browns will limit him and go with a heavy dosage of Mayfield in GPP with the thought that the Browns won't fully unleash Chubb week 1.
Peyton Barber is extremely cheap as well and the Browns linebacking group is pretty banged up.
Other running backs-
Sony Michel- DK and FD. James White is simply too expensive on DraftKings, but could be a fine low-owned GPP play.
Tarik Cohen- DraftKings GPP
Ezekiel Elliott- GPP
LeSean McCoy- GPP
Wide Receiver
Mike Evans- I firmly believe Denzel Ward will shadow DeSean Jackson as it would be a significant size discrepency if he shadowed Evans. T.J. Carrie is sliding to the outside with the injury to E.J. Gaines who is 210 pounds but is a slot corner moving outside which is something I want to take advantage of.
Robert Woods- Cooper Kupp is out which means Robert Woods will slide to the slot. I love Robert Woods as a slot receiver and think it's his natural fit.
Taylor Gabriel- Turning into the number one receiver in this Bears offense. SHould be in a good spot this week and is still too cheap
Marquise Goodwin- Goodwin is the guy that did not get the proper price adjustment due to playing on Monday Night last week. He's too cheap on both sites.
Keke Coutee- DK, should see a significant role with Jalen Ramsey locking down Deandre Hopkins
Adam Thielen- FD/DK Cash- Don't love him in GPP due to the weather, but he's too consistent at this point and going up against a bad Jets secondary.
Michael Crabtree/John Brown- I prefer Crabtree in cash and Brown in GPP, but the matchup is good as discussed with Flacco earlier.
Tight End-
David Njoku- Cash price is still too cheap
O.J. Howard- GPP with the Browns linebacker issues
Defense-
I'm playing Cleveland everywhere once again as I pretty much have done all year.
We are creating a contest for Power Grid listeners, go to for some details and a chance to win $50.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0uakE6487eo&t=1s
I'm in love with this week. There are so many ways to go that this is the first real cash game week. The first couple of weeks quarterback has basically been either you have to start this player, or you have to pick one or the other player.
Weather-
There are two weather games that I am trying to avoid players due to high winds
Carolina @ Philadelphia
Minnesota @ NYJ- (Adam Thielen is the one exception to this)
Thoughts on the slate:
I love this Chicago New England game to be a shootout.
All Players Cash and GPP viable unless otherwise noted.
Quarterback-
Tom Brady- DK GPP Only
Mitchell Trubisky- DK
Joe Flacco- DK (Cash Only), I don't think he has the upside in a GPP
Baker Mayfield- FD Cash/GPP and DK GPP
Jameis Winston- FD
Matthew Stafford- DK/FD
Running Back
This week it seems pretty easy. In cash, I am going with Todd Gurley and Nick Chubb on FanDuel and DraftKings. I am avoiding Chubb in GPP's due to his ownership and there is some risk that the Browns will limit him and go with a heavy dosage of Mayfield in GPP with the thought that the Browns won't fully unleash Chubb week 1.
Peyton Barber is extremely cheap as well and the Browns linebacking group is pretty banged up.
Other running backs-
Sony Michel- DK and FD. James White is simply too expensive on DraftKings, but could be a fine low-owned GPP play.
Tarik Cohen- DraftKings GPP
Ezekiel Elliott- GPP
LeSean McCoy- GPP
Wide Receiver
Mike Evans- I firmly believe Denzel Ward will shadow DeSean Jackson as it would be a significant size discrepency if he shadowed Evans. T.J. Carrie is sliding to the outside with the injury to E.J. Gaines who is 210 pounds but is a slot corner moving outside which is something I want to take advantage of.
Robert Woods- Cooper Kupp is out which means Robert Woods will slide to the slot. I love Robert Woods as a slot receiver and think it's his natural fit.
Taylor Gabriel- Turning into the number one receiver in this Bears offense. SHould be in a good spot this week and is still too cheap
Marquise Goodwin- Goodwin is the guy that did not get the proper price adjustment due to playing on Monday Night last week. He's too cheap on both sites.
Keke Coutee- DK, should see a significant role with Jalen Ramsey locking down Deandre Hopkins
Adam Thielen- FD/DK Cash- Don't love him in GPP due to the weather, but he's too consistent at this point and going up against a bad Jets secondary.
Michael Crabtree/John Brown- I prefer Crabtree in cash and Brown in GPP, but the matchup is good as discussed with Flacco earlier.
Tight End-
David Njoku- Cash price is still too cheap
O.J. Howard- GPP with the Browns linebacker issues
Defense-
I'm playing Cleveland everywhere once again as I pretty much have done all year.
Sunday, October 14, 2018
Today is a good day
This is one of those days that make it all worth it.
Don't think I'll have any high GPP finishes, but should win nearly all my cash games.
Don't think I'll have any high GPP finishes, but should win nearly all my cash games.
Updated Cash Game Lineup- Latavius Murray
Dalvin Cook was expected to be on a snap count this week. He is now inactive, which means I'm going to make some changes to get Latavius Murray in my lineup. Nothing major, it is an easy fit downgrading Howard to Murray and upgrading Conner to Gordon. Still wish I had $100 extra for Dalton.
Week 6 Cash Lineup
This week is hard. The question I keep going back to is whether to play Julio Jones on FanDuel. Where I've landed is that I am going to play him as if he is as highly owned as most expect, I want him to at least be a block for my opponents.
I love this lineup, I wish I was able to find $100 more for Andy Dalton or Tyler Boyd (over Howard), but I'm not really willing to sacrifice any other position to do so. You could go Conner down to Elliott and Winston up to Dalton, but I think the drop from Conner to Elliott is a tough one in cash. If I were to be able to accept Elliott in cash, I would upgrade Jordan Howard to Tyler Boyd first.
Putting a normal 13% of my bankroll in play this week, just because I think everyone thinks this is hard while I've found a lineup I really like.
I love this lineup, I wish I was able to find $100 more for Andy Dalton or Tyler Boyd (over Howard), but I'm not really willing to sacrifice any other position to do so. You could go Conner down to Elliott and Winston up to Dalton, but I think the drop from Conner to Elliott is a tough one in cash. If I were to be able to accept Elliott in cash, I would upgrade Jordan Howard to Tyler Boyd first.
Putting a normal 13% of my bankroll in play this week, just because I think everyone thinks this is hard while I've found a lineup I really like.
Saturday, October 13, 2018
Week 6 Thoughts
First off, if you haven't checked out this week's DFS Power Grid, I highly encourage you to check it out. If we reach 7k views which we have done twice this season, I'll be having a giveaway where someone will play a free contest with the Power Grid gang to win some cash.
Power Grid Week 6
Onto Week 6
Week 6 is a tough week. I manage the rushing and passing matchups that get sent out to Footballguys free email list each week and this is the first week where we only have 1 team that has a "Great" rushing matchup that is on the main slate which is Tampa who we would not really want to start either of their running backs to begin with.
The biggest question is whether you want to pay up for Todd Gurley this week. There is a lot of safety in doing so as the Broncos just got shredded by the Jets last week, but this is still a unit that was the one of the best in 2017 was a top-five unit up until last week. Gurley is matchup proof, and on FanDuel he is more attractive than on DraftKings where his price is extremely prohibitive.
QB-
Matt Ryan- Cash and GPP DK/FD
Jameis Winston- Cash only DK
Andy Dalton- Cash (FD), GPP (FD/DK )
Andrew Luck- Cash (DK) GPP (FD/DK)
Case Keenum- will have to throw 50+ times and is too cheap on FanDuel
Baker Mayfield- GPP only
RB-
Todd Gurley- Cash and GPP
Melvin Gordon- This is probably the route that I am going this week, especially on DraftKings
Marshawn Lynch- Cash and GPP
Bilal Powell everywhere if Crowell is out
Chris Carson- Cash
Jordan Howard- FD-cash
WR-
What to do with Atlanta receivers-
This is tough, I really like all three receivers, my favorite is Mohammed Sanu of the three just because his price is so low. I'm probably not going to have any Julio this week which scares me and will likely keep me up most of Saturday night.
If you're going to play Julio, I suggest doing it on DraftKings, where it is more viable due to the 100 yard bonus that is in play. The issue is that he will likely be one of if not the most popular player on DraftKings which for GPP's he is a solid fade for me.
Will Fuller- FD-GPP only
Mike Evans- FD-cash
Taylor Gabriel- DK-Cash/GPP
Michael Crabtree- FD/DK- Cash and GPP
Antonio Brown- FD/DK GPP only
Jarvis Landry- DK- cash
Keke Coutee- DK- cash
Quincy Enunwa- FD/DK cash
TE-
Cameron Brate- FD- Cash/GPP
David Njoku- DK- Cash/GPP
Nick Vannett- DK- GPP
Defense-
What does Cleveland have to do to raise the cost of their defense? They have 15 turnovers so far this season when the next closest team has just 11. This is a far too talented unit for their price.
Power Grid Week 6
Onto Week 6
Week 6 is a tough week. I manage the rushing and passing matchups that get sent out to Footballguys free email list each week and this is the first week where we only have 1 team that has a "Great" rushing matchup that is on the main slate which is Tampa who we would not really want to start either of their running backs to begin with.
The biggest question is whether you want to pay up for Todd Gurley this week. There is a lot of safety in doing so as the Broncos just got shredded by the Jets last week, but this is still a unit that was the one of the best in 2017 was a top-five unit up until last week. Gurley is matchup proof, and on FanDuel he is more attractive than on DraftKings where his price is extremely prohibitive.
QB-
Matt Ryan- Cash and GPP DK/FD
Jameis Winston- Cash only DK
Andy Dalton- Cash (FD), GPP (FD/DK )
Andrew Luck- Cash (DK) GPP (FD/DK)
Case Keenum- will have to throw 50+ times and is too cheap on FanDuel
Baker Mayfield- GPP only
RB-
Todd Gurley- Cash and GPP
Melvin Gordon- This is probably the route that I am going this week, especially on DraftKings
Marshawn Lynch- Cash and GPP
Bilal Powell everywhere if Crowell is out
Chris Carson- Cash
Jordan Howard- FD-cash
WR-
What to do with Atlanta receivers-
This is tough, I really like all three receivers, my favorite is Mohammed Sanu of the three just because his price is so low. I'm probably not going to have any Julio this week which scares me and will likely keep me up most of Saturday night.
If you're going to play Julio, I suggest doing it on DraftKings, where it is more viable due to the 100 yard bonus that is in play. The issue is that he will likely be one of if not the most popular player on DraftKings which for GPP's he is a solid fade for me.
Will Fuller- FD-GPP only
Mike Evans- FD-cash
Taylor Gabriel- DK-Cash/GPP
Michael Crabtree- FD/DK- Cash and GPP
Antonio Brown- FD/DK GPP only
Jarvis Landry- DK- cash
Keke Coutee- DK- cash
Quincy Enunwa- FD/DK cash
TE-
Cameron Brate- FD- Cash/GPP
David Njoku- DK- Cash/GPP
Nick Vannett- DK- GPP
Defense-
What does Cleveland have to do to raise the cost of their defense? They have 15 turnovers so far this season when the next closest team has just 11. This is a far too talented unit for their price.
Monday, October 8, 2018
Why Play DFS
I've been meaning to write this blog for a while, and the reality is that it should have been written a long time ago. The purpose of this blog is to show why I play DFS and why you should find your own style that works for you that you enjoy.
Background to the story:
I've played DFS for eight years now, and several years ago thought about doing it full-time as I made as much as I was making at my full-time job. The reality is that I could never pull the trigger on doing it full-time for one simple reason. Treating this as a full-time career would become a job just like anything else in life. Even when I signed on to Footballguys to be a writer/content manager part-time I was nervous about coming on as it takes the fun out of the games with the stress of writing and giving your insights on a week to week basis.
The reality is that as the years have gone by, I've seen hundreds of people who were once playing very high volumes disappear. This is the dark side of DFS that no one really talks about as for some reason there are ego's involved and people think they have to prove something by having horrendous bankroll management. I can list several examples of people who were playing less than $100 a week who won hundreds of thousands of dollars or even a million plus and then thought that based on that one lucky lineup they should try to put tens of thousands of dollars each week.
A significant amount of people think that they have to justify their play and have to post screenshots of them winning a significant amount of money in order to get people to follow them. The reality is that a significant number of people in this industry lose a lot, this is why I've found what I feel is my niche, and have been profitable in 6 of the 7 years so far.
I was talking to someone the other day who said that they wanted to get in the writing industry, so they felt they need to play a high volume to get recognized. I would warn everyone against this as it is largely an outdated misconception that you have to play high dollar amounts to get recognized. I can tell you at Footballguys we've hired a variety of all players with some of the highest volume players in the industry to guys who play small dollars. If there is interest, I can write recommendations for anyone looking to get into the industry.
Why I Primarily Play Cash Games
I get this question at least once a week. Cash games have become harder and harder to win at consistently, why do you play primarily cash games and not primarily play GPP's. The reality is it's what is fun for me.
Every Sunday at 1PM EST is like Christmas morning when you're a kid. I get to open up each Head to Head matchup and see who my opponents have decided to play and dissect each lineup.
The reality is that even though I have won several GPP's, I have never succumbed to the lineup optimizers and mass multi entries. I build 5-10 lineups each week for GPP's and that's really it. The reason for this is two-fold
1) I have done the mass multi-entry thing and it is simply not fun for me. I find it stressful as I watch Scott Hanson show every touchdown and thinking the worst every time some obscure player scores a touchdown.
2) What most people don't tell you is that while we see all the time someone who has 150 lineups in a tournament winning the tournament, there are a number of mass multi-entry lineups losing a significant amount of their investment each week.
Summary
The overall message is to play what you enjoy at a dollar amount that you are comfortable with. Don't try to prove anything to anyone.
Background to the story:
I've played DFS for eight years now, and several years ago thought about doing it full-time as I made as much as I was making at my full-time job. The reality is that I could never pull the trigger on doing it full-time for one simple reason. Treating this as a full-time career would become a job just like anything else in life. Even when I signed on to Footballguys to be a writer/content manager part-time I was nervous about coming on as it takes the fun out of the games with the stress of writing and giving your insights on a week to week basis.
The reality is that as the years have gone by, I've seen hundreds of people who were once playing very high volumes disappear. This is the dark side of DFS that no one really talks about as for some reason there are ego's involved and people think they have to prove something by having horrendous bankroll management. I can list several examples of people who were playing less than $100 a week who won hundreds of thousands of dollars or even a million plus and then thought that based on that one lucky lineup they should try to put tens of thousands of dollars each week.
A significant amount of people think that they have to justify their play and have to post screenshots of them winning a significant amount of money in order to get people to follow them. The reality is that a significant number of people in this industry lose a lot, this is why I've found what I feel is my niche, and have been profitable in 6 of the 7 years so far.
I was talking to someone the other day who said that they wanted to get in the writing industry, so they felt they need to play a high volume to get recognized. I would warn everyone against this as it is largely an outdated misconception that you have to play high dollar amounts to get recognized. I can tell you at Footballguys we've hired a variety of all players with some of the highest volume players in the industry to guys who play small dollars. If there is interest, I can write recommendations for anyone looking to get into the industry.
Why I Primarily Play Cash Games
I get this question at least once a week. Cash games have become harder and harder to win at consistently, why do you play primarily cash games and not primarily play GPP's. The reality is it's what is fun for me.
Every Sunday at 1PM EST is like Christmas morning when you're a kid. I get to open up each Head to Head matchup and see who my opponents have decided to play and dissect each lineup.
The reality is that even though I have won several GPP's, I have never succumbed to the lineup optimizers and mass multi entries. I build 5-10 lineups each week for GPP's and that's really it. The reason for this is two-fold
1) I have done the mass multi-entry thing and it is simply not fun for me. I find it stressful as I watch Scott Hanson show every touchdown and thinking the worst every time some obscure player scores a touchdown.
2) What most people don't tell you is that while we see all the time someone who has 150 lineups in a tournament winning the tournament, there are a number of mass multi-entry lineups losing a significant amount of their investment each week.
Summary
The overall message is to play what you enjoy at a dollar amount that you are comfortable with. Don't try to prove anything to anyone.
Sunday, October 7, 2018
Unintentionally light week this week.
Was going to do a breakdown of a 1k H2H and dissecting my lineup vs my opponents lineup, and built the rest of my games and the game didn't fill. This seems to be more and more of a trend on FanDuel with games not filling.
Will have to wait to do that until next week. Or maybe I'll do an afternoon lineup
Will have to wait to do that until next week. Or maybe I'll do an afternoon lineup
Cash Game Lineup
This one is a bit risky, but I'm finding myself loving it. To have such a core around Gurley and Gordon is always a great start. The biggest question will always be Bortles in cash as it really will be dependent on what Bortles we get this week.
Friday, October 5, 2018
Heading into Week 5
Last week was thankfully a positive one for me as I was right on the border of a lot of cash games, but got lucky in some H2H as one guy scooped a lot of my games who I ended up on the right side of things.
Heading into Week 5, still down on the year with a bankroll at $9,400, but it's two weeks in a row of recovering after an awful Week 1/2.
Week 5 Thoughts
Heading into Week 5, still down on the year with a bankroll at $9,400, but it's two weeks in a row of recovering after an awful Week 1/2.
Week 5 Thoughts
- Pittsburgh and Atlanta has one of the highest over/unders I can remember with a ton of players in play on both sides of the ball
- Minnesota should be able to throw all over Philadelphia
- Not sure I can go back to Blake Bortles and the Jaguars, but if there was a week this would be the one as they're playing a Kansas City team that has an awful secondary.
- The Chargers should be able to run the ball heavily against Oakland.
This may be the first week where the chalk is not defined for us. It seems the first four weeks largely due to Alvin Kamara, the builds really have been defined for us as it was center your teams around Kamara which forced you to go cheap at whatever running back was thrust into a starting role whether it be Gio Bernard or Tevin Coleman. This week, we don't have too many "new" injuries that have come up so there aren't that many guys who are extremely cheap.
Week 5 List of players I'm considering, my cash list isn't final which is why you'll see a lot of guys designated as cash viable. Based on roster construction, you may see a guy on my cash game list who is not on here. Check back Sunday for my final cash game lineup.
QB-
Matt Ryan- Cash and GPP FanDuel/DraftKings
Ben Roethlisberger- Cash and GPP FanDuel/DraftKings
Blake Bortles- Cash and GPP FanDuel/DraftKings
Matthew Stafford- GPP
Kirk Cousins- GPP
RB-
Melvin Gordon- Cash (DraftKings due to PPR) GPP (FanDuel/DraftKings)
Aaron Jones- EVERYWHERE
Derrick Henry- GPP
Joe Mixon- Cash
Todd Gurley- Cash/GPP
Christian McCaffrey- GPP DraftKings
Saquon Barkley- GPP
WR-
Marvin Jones- Cash/GPP (DraftKings)
Kenny Golladay- Cash/GPP (FanDuel)
Cooper Kupp- Cash/GPP (FanDuel)
Adam Thielen- GPP
Stefon Diggs- GPP
Donte Moncrief- Cash/GPP (DraftKings)
Calvin Ridley- Cash (DraftKings) GPP (FanDuel DraftKings)
Mohamed Sanu- Cash (DraftKings) GPP (FanDuel DraftKings)
Keelan Cole- Cash (FanDuel) GPP (FanDuel DraftKings)
Antonio Brown- Cash/GPP
Julio Jones- GPP (DraftKings)
Tight End
Vance McDonald- Cash/GPP
Jimmy Graham- Cash/GPP
Travis Kelce- GPP (DraftKings)
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