I am Devin Knotts, 2018 will be my 8th season playing NFL DFS. I have made five live finals by playing DFS. Join me on my journey as I start with $10,000 in bankroll and show you how I manage it, give you advice for the week, and go over lessons learned for the week.
Email: knotts@footballguys.com
Sunday, October 14, 2018
Today is a good day
This is one of those days that make it all worth it.
Don't think I'll have any high GPP finishes, but should win nearly all my cash games.
I feel like I should just play my cash game lineup in the $9 milli GPP on FD rather than play head to head. These guys I'm playing against are scoring 160++ pts while I'm scoring like 150. The same lineup cashes in the GPP. This has happened the past 3 weeks now. What do you suggest?
1) The chalk has hit a lot so far this season which ultimately has led to higher cash game lineups. 2) You could simply be unlucky, I had a range of 128-155 in my H2H today. 3) What dollar amount are you playing. If it is $5+ try dipping into the $1 or $3 games. The reason for this is that a lot of the higher volume players such as myself are not allowed to play anything less than $5 h2h games due to career earnings. This will also allow you to diversify into a couple h2h games.
Nice line-ups Devin! Just wanted to point out per FantasyLabs, Winston has a higher correlation with Howard than Brate. I had a lot of Winston + OJ stacks in GPPs and ended up getting 280 overall in the DK Milly Maker (of course, with your help!). Thanks for all you do.
Interesting, curious how they pulled that number as Winston has just played a half before last season and Brate had a better year last year. I know a few guys over there, will reach out to them. If it is a forward looking projection, I can get behind it, I would have preferred Howard if not for the injury news surrounding him last week. Both scored touchdowns and Howard appeared fine though.
I feel like I should just play my cash game lineup in the $9 milli GPP on FD rather than play head to head. These guys I'm playing against are scoring 160++ pts while I'm scoring like 150. The same lineup cashes in the GPP. This has happened the past 3 weeks now. What do you suggest?
ReplyDeleteHey Stephen-
ReplyDeleteCouple things here:
1) The chalk has hit a lot so far this season which ultimately has led to higher cash game lineups.
2) You could simply be unlucky, I had a range of 128-155 in my H2H today.
3) What dollar amount are you playing. If it is $5+ try dipping into the $1 or $3 games. The reason for this is that a lot of the higher volume players such as myself are not allowed to play anything less than $5 h2h games due to career earnings. This will also allow you to diversify into a couple h2h games.
I have never played much H2H, it's been my experience that the min cash line for 1-3 entry GPP is similar to that of 50/50 and DU.
ReplyDeleteNice line-ups Devin! Just wanted to point out per FantasyLabs, Winston has a higher correlation with Howard than Brate. I had a lot of Winston + OJ stacks in GPPs and ended up getting 280 overall in the DK Milly Maker (of course, with your help!). Thanks for all you do.
ReplyDeleteInteresting, curious how they pulled that number as Winston has just played a half before last season and Brate had a better year last year. I know a few guys over there, will reach out to them. If it is a forward looking projection, I can get behind it, I would have preferred Howard if not for the injury news surrounding him last week. Both scored touchdowns and Howard appeared fine though.
Delete