Saturday, October 27, 2018

Week 8 Thoughts

It's crazy to think we're at the half way point this week, but here we are (I don't count week 17).

Last week was a good one as we posted the two $500 h2h that were winners.

Bankroll is up to $11,525 this week after starting with $10,000. Quite the winning streak after a few horrible weeks to start the year.

Quarterback-

Eli Manning- FD/DK Cash/GPP
He's simply too cheap on both DraftKings and FanDuel, Quinton Dunbar appears out and Fabian Moreau is dealing with an ankle injury. Josh Norman is still in this secondary, but he has not shadowed a receiver all season and I'm not sure it starts this week. We'll see if I have the guts to go with Manning in cash, but think he's an excellent GPP play this week.

Jameis Winston-FD/DK Cash/GPP
Winston is the safest cash game quarterback for the cost. He's likely going to be the most popular guy in GPP's which is a little bit tough, but this game should be a shootout and if you want to take him in GPP's, pair him with a guy like Chris Godwin instead of DeSean Jackson or Mike Evans.

Mitchell Trubisky- FD Cash/GPP only as he remains too cheap in a good matchup

Kirk Cousins- FD/DK GPP- If you're playing the Sun/Mon slate should be able to carve up this Saints secondary

Ben Roethlisberger- FD/DK GPP- Roethlisberger at home coming off the bye. Favorite stack with him this week is with JuJu Smith-Schuster.


Running Back 

Todd Gurley- FD/DK Cash/GPP- Is there really anything that needs to be said here? I'm putting Gurley in my cash and GPP's this week and will differentiate my lineups elsewhere.

James Conner- FD/DK Cash/GPP- The Browns are dealing with some linebacker issues and the Steelers should get out to a big lead in this one. Conner had a big game last go around against this Browns team and his price is pretty reasonable.

Chris Carson- DK Cash- Chris Carson is a nice play this week in cash only as I don't think he has the upside in a GPP due to his lack of receiving ability, but he's priced down in a good matchup against Detroit even with the Snacks Harrison acquisition.

Adrian Peterson- FD Cash/GPP Has rushed for 90+ yards in every game that the Redskins have not gotten blown out. Don't expect the Redskins to get blown out against the Giants this week.

Raheem Mostert- DK Cash/GPP FanDuel GPP- If Breida is out, Mostert should see a lot of time this week.

Duke Johnson- DK GPP- This is expected to be a blowout which could mean that Duke sees the field a lot and is priced down accordingly.

Saquon Barkley- DK GPP- Has caught 18 balls the last two weeks combined. He's basically a lock for 6 catches this week.


Wide Receiver-
Odell Beckham- DK/FD Cash/GPP Should get a favorable matchup this week against 7th round rookie draft pick Greg Stroman. Expect Beckham to have a big week this week at home to a corner who has struggled with double moves.

Emmanuel Sanders- DK/FD Cash/GPP- All the garbage time for Sanders this week against a bad Chiefs secondary.

Robert Woods- DK/FD Cash/GPP- Cooper Kupp looks like he'll miss again which increases Woods' value

Anthony Miller- DK Cash/GPP FD GPP- If Allen Robinson misses, Miller is a nice darkhorse candidate for the Bears as he had 7 targets last week and is in a favorable matchup.

Jordy Nelson- FD Cash- Too cheap on FanDuel at $5,300.

Davante Adams- DK/FD GPP- Too expensive to get in cash with wanting to spend up at running back and with Cobb/Allison looking like they'll return, but Adams is going to be a focal point of this offense especially in the Red Zone.

JuJu Smith-Schuster- DK/FD GPP Expect Denzel Ward to shadow Antonio Brown which should mean JuJu is in a favorable matchup against either Damarious Randall or Briean Boddy-Calhoun.

Michael Crabtree- DK Cash- At $4,800 against a Carolina team that is better against the run than the pass, he's a nice trustworthy play this week.

Jermaine Kearse- DK/FD Cash/GPP- Not sure I'm going back there but Kearse is basically the only wide receiver playing for the Jets who has seen significant time this season as Robby Anderson and Quincy Enunwa are looking out this week.

Paul Richardson- DK Cash/GPP FD GPPCould be facing a corner who has only seen 4 snaps all season in undrafted rookie Grant Haley.

Tight End-

I'm playing David Njoku in 90%+ of my contests, I think the matchup is perfect as the Steelers have struggled against tight ends and the Browns will be forced to throw. I'll have a little Jordan Reed in GPP's due to how few of receiving options the Redskins have.

C.J. Uzomah, Jeff Heuerman, and Chris Herndon (yikes)are your pay down guys this week on DraftKings.

Defense-
This week is simple, Pittsburgh on DraftKings, Arizona on FanDuel. You could use Baltimore as a GPP play as they're too talented to be this cheap.


10 comments:

  1. Love that you think Anthony Miller is cash viable - is that only if ARob misses though?

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  3. Why are Boyd and mixon not in consideration?

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    1. I'm sure people will be on the Bengals, they looked so bad against the Chiefs that I think there is some regression coming for this team. This is just who I'm considering though not who everyone should consider.

      Mixon I think is too expensive, especially on FanDuel at 7800.

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  4. Philip Lindsey is the buzz RB this week. You didnt list him. Are you considering him?

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    1. Posted him in the next post that I missed him

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  5. Miller over Gabriel with ARob out? Almost the same price on Faneuil.

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