Saturday, November 3, 2018

Heading Into Week 9

The season continues to fly by, but here we are in Week 9.

Last week was horrendous, let's see if we can get back to the winning side of things. 

Bankroll Prior to Last Week $11,525
Net Profit (Loss)- ($1,350)
New Bankroll- $10,175

Quarterback-

For cash games this week, I think it is you either go with Cam Newton or Patrick Mahomes. This week it is really site specific, as I'm paying up for Mahomes on DraftKings, and going with Newton on FanDuel. Both are fine GPP plays as well, but Newton might be a little bit too popular for me this week in GPP's. 

GPP plays-
Ryan Fitzpatrick- FanDuel
Baker Mayfield- FanDuel/DraftKings
Aaron Rodgers is a tremendous GPP play on the all-day slates. 

Running Back-
The question this week is whether to pay up for Todd Gurley or not. New Orleans has been great against the run this season, but Todd Gurley is largely matchup proof. At the moment, Gurley is not in my cash game lineup, but that definitely could change in the next 24 hours. The reasons for it are 

Top Options- Cash and GPP

Todd Gurley- Needs no explanation. If you can fit him in, go with it. 

Kareem Hunt- I love Kareem Huntt his week particularly on DraftKings, but really in all formats. We saw what James Conner did against this Browns defense last week and with no Joe Schobert in the middle, along with a struggling defensive line outside of Myles Garrett, this is a tremendous opportunity for Hunt to have a big day in a game in which the Chiefs should be able to control.

Christian McCaffrey- We saw last week what Joe Mixon was able to do against this banged up Tampa Bay defense that is missing Kwon Alexander, Vita Vea and possibly Gerald McCoy. This defense has also struggled against receiving backs, allowing two backs to go for over 100 yards receiving. McCaffrey is my favorite play on DraftKings this week and is serviceable on FanDuel, but is not a must play. 

Nick Chubb- This backfield is Nick Chubb's at the moment, and he remains too cheap on both sites, but in particular DraftKings his price is way too low. The Chiefs have allowed running backs since Week 3 to run for 127 yards per game which is the fourth-most in the NFL over that time period. 

Latavius Murray- This Lions defense has been one of the worst in the NFL this season and even with Snacks Harrison being added to the team showed very little allowing Chris Carson to have a big day last week. The Lions are allowing the most rushing yards per game in the NFL and this is a tremendous opportunity for Murray this week. 

GPP Targets (Cash viable if noted)-
Philip Lindsay (Might be a flex spot on FanDuel in cash)
Adrian Peterson- FanDuel only
Lamar Miller
Isaiah Crowell- DraftKings Cash Viable

Wide Receivers

The top end receivers this week don't really intrigue me in cash, I'm going with more middle of the pack guys. 

Top Option- Cash and GPP
Emmanuel Sanders- Should benefit from Demaryius Thomas being traded and his price is too cheap around the industry.

Marvin Jones- Xavier Rhodes should shadow Kenny Golladay, leaving Jones with the better matchup of the two. Both players are in play due to the Golden Tate trade, but prefer Jones this week.  

Cooper Kupp- Going up against P.J. Williams who is one of the worst cornerbacks in the NFL. Plus his grandfather is being recognized by the Saints during this game if you're into the narratives.

Courtland Sutton- DraftKings Cash- Sutton is too cheap and should be on your DraftKings roster. You can do it on FanDuel, but you probably don't have to as he does carry some risk even though he should have a solid floor replacing Demaryius Thomas.

Danny Amendola- Prefer on DraftKings- Nice floor this week

GPP Targets (Cash viable if noted)-
Sammy Watkins- (Cash viable on DraftKings at $4,900) 
Michael Thomas- Marcus Peters has really struggled this year and this game should be a shootout. 


Tight End-

Top Option- Cash and GPP
Travis Kelce-I'm trying to pay up for Kelce in almost every lineup. The Browns have not played any tight ends this season and the only one they did they allowed Jared Cook to go for 110/2 touchdowns. Kelce should be a focal point of this game and a complete mismatch for the Browns.

GPP Targets (Cash viable if noted)-
David Njoku- (Cash game viable play on FanDuel just because his price is too cheap)
Greg Olsen
Trey Burton
Jeff Heurman- (Cash game viable on DraftKings if you're just looking to punt the position)

Defense-
I don't pay up for defenses, but the Chicago Bears are extremely enticing this week. However, with that said, I'm going with the Buffalo Bills in all contests. Simply too cheap especially on FanDuel where they are the site minimum, going up against Chicago at home and Trubisky has thrown some interceptions this season.  




3 comments:

  1. Great write up as usual. What are your thoughts on Landry and Kamara this week in FD cash?

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    Replies
    1. I think they're fine plays just didn't make my list due to liking other guys more. Landry's floor is not stable enough for me

      I prefer both of them on DraftKings, especially Kamara as his price is too low.

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