Friday, September 16, 2016

Evaluating Week 2 Quarterbacks




This week has been more complicated than most, and I wanted to get a clear direction on which way I was leaning before posting a blog. Now that I have a clear direction of where I want to go, let's get into this thing.

Quarterbacks that I am targeting.

Cash

Eli Manning- $8,100

Don't overthink this one this week. In cash games, you want to select the quarterbacks who have the highest floor per dollar. Eli Manning going up against the worst defense in the NFL this week makes this a no brainer. New Orleans lost Delvin Breaux who is their top corner due to a broken fibula last week making a bad defense even worse. Derek Carr last week threw for 320 yards on the road. This game has the highest projected score on the board in Las Vegas. Eli will be one of the more popular plays of the week, but there will also be plenty of people spending down to players such as Trevor Siemian and Jimmy Garoppolo which is not recommended due to their floors being much lower than Eli. The Giants are going to be forced to throw the ball and assuming the weather holds up, Eli is the top play for me in cash games this week.
GPP-
Josh McCown- $6,000
The primary reason I am looking at cheap quarterbacks this week in GPP's is due to wanting to spend up at other positions. Typically in my process, I will start with which quarterbacks I am willing to start based on tiers (expensive, mid-tier, low-tier) and then determine in what types of contests I am wanting to spend up at other positions. This week, I want Antonio Brown and A.J. Green in GPP's, and the only way to be able to do that is to spend down at quarterback.

Josh McCown in 2015 faced this Baltimore Ravens team twice, and threw for an average of 44.5 times in both of these games. He ended up with an average of 23.5 FanDuel points per game in these two contests. The Browns offense should be better this week, as they have gone out and drafted Corey Coleman, Terrelle Pryor is developing as a deep threat, and Duke Johnson is in his second season all which help McCown and give him more weapons than what he had last season.

Trevor Siemian is going to also be popular this week, but my concern around him is that Denver doesn't really need to throw the ball and can use him more as a game manager. The injury to Demaryius Thomas is also a concern, which leads me to believe that C.J. Anderson is the guy that you want in that matchup.

Carson Palmer- $8,200
A lot of people continue to be scared off of Carson Palmer after his horrible preseason and his underwhelming game against the Patriots. This is a perfect opportunity for a player who is going to be under-owned in a great matchup at home against a Jacksonville team who was 29th in passing yards allowed last season. Palmer makes for a great stack with Larry Fitzgerald this week, as Fitzgerald was one of the bright spots last week scoring two touchdowns and targeted 10 times last week. Palmer will be under-owned due to people gravitating to Eli Manning at a similar price, spending down, or spending up to Cam Newton. He is going to be one of my top GPP plays with the hope that him and the offense get back to where they were last season.

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